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AFL Round 18 2011 Footy Tips, 꽁머니사이트Odds and Predictions
Round 18 of the 2011 AFL footy season looks to one that will have a huge impact on the final eight. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds to help make the right choice.
With Blockbusters between 꽁머니사이트 & Carlton and Fremantle V West Coast as the standout matches also expect to see the top two sides dominate their opponents and get a percentage boost as Collingwood take on the Gold Caost for the first time and the Geelong hosting Richmond at Etihad Stadium.
Best Bet of Round 18 for me is the Bulldogs between 1-39 against the Swans which is paying $3.10 at Sportsbet.
St Kilda V Adelaide Friday night at Etihad Satdium
The Saints continued their hot form last week knocking off the Eagles, even without scoring at all in the third quarter. They will lose defender James Gwilt for the rest of the season with Jason Blake looking to be his replacement.
The Crows definitely let a chance slip last week after they led the Bombers by 36 points at half time but ended up going down by 11 points. A hip injury to star defender Graham Joncock could see him sidelined for this match, even with him I can’t see them knocking off St Kilda.
Tip: Saint by 32 points
Odds: Saints 1.11 Crows 6.50
If you’re looking for a good side bet here I would recommend the Saints between 1-39 over the Crows at $2.40
Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Saints by 32
Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of the match.
To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.
North Melbourne V Brisbane Saturday at Etihad Stadium
The Kangaroos kept their slim finals hopes alive last week with a hard-fought victory against the Doggies. Drew Petrie starred once again kicking 5 goals and Andrew Swallow and Daniel Wells dominated in the midfield.
Brisbane’s season went from bad to worse last week as captain Jonathan Brown once again got knocked out and will now miss the remainder of the season. Fellow big man Mitch Clark is also in doubt, likely replacement for the pair are Bryce Retzlaff and Aaron Cornelius. If Brisbane can play with the same intensity as they did for 3 quarters against the Cats they will also give the Kangaroos a scare.
Tip: Kangaroos by 23 points
Odds: Kangaroos 1.11 Lions 6.75
I think to Roos will jump out of the blocks early in this one, that’s why the first quarter being the highest scoring of the game at 3.80 stands out to me.
Sydney V Western Bulldogs Saturday at the SCG
This looms as a must win for both sides, if the Swans want to consolidate a spot in the top eight they need to start putting together back to back wins. They have not been dominating at the SCG this year as they have been in past seasons and need to make this a place teams fear to come and play at once again.
The Doggies let a golden chance slip last week to jump to ninth and be just 2 points out of they eight as they lost to the Kangaroos. With the retirement announcement of Barry Hall this week, along with the spearheads knowledge of the SCG I think the Doggies can bring home the 4 points and leave the Swans in danger of dropping out of the eight.
Tip: Bulldogs by 15 points
Odds: Swans 1.54 Bulldogs 2.45
I am taking the qtr by qtr leader of Syd/Syd/Syd/WB at $25.00 in this one
Gold Coast V Collingwood Saturday night at Metricon Stadium
The Suns got themselves of the bottom of the ladder with a superb win against the Tigers in Round 17. They will need a miracle to get over the top of the table reigning premier Magpies though.
After a horror week off the field the Pies were not dominant against the Blues last week but had enough class to get the job done. The form of Daisy Thomas this year has been outstanding and must put him on Brownlow Medal talks. The Pies will dominate the Suns in the first ever meeting between the 2 sides.
Tip: Pies by 78 points
Odds: Suns 21.00 Pies 1.01
Although the Pies will dominate this game I am taking a Punt and saying that the Gold Caost will kick the first scoring play, a point at $6.20
Essendon V Carlton Saturday night at the MCG
If this game is anything like the draw these two sides out on earlier in the year it is bound to be a blockbuster. The Bombers could jump up to sixth if Freo lose and the Blues could drop to fifth if the same result happens so there is a lot riding on this match.
Essendon started slowly last week but were superb in a second half come back in Adelaide. Angus Monfries had his best game of the season and David Zaharakis continues to impress. Captain Jobe Watson and Michael Hibbard will be welcome inclusions to the side.
The Blues performed strongly against the Pies last week and stuck with them most of the day. Andrew Carrazzo and Jordan Russell could come back into the side after recovering from injury. The Bombers have had the wood over the Blues for a while but I think with the form of the Blues stars this year they can put an end to this trend.
Tip: Blues by 7 points
Odds: Bombers 2.65 Blues 1.48
The odds are against a second draw between these two sides this season, but I got to put five bucks on it at $67.00 just incase
Geelong V Richmond Sunday at the Etihad Stadium
The Cats got a scare last week from the Lions but a brilliant 8 goal haul from James Podsiadly got them over the line. The Cats forward line could also see the inclusion of veteran Cameron Mooney after strong performances in the VFL in past weeks.
The Tigers were humiliated last week losing to the Gold Coast and the task of redeeming themselves is not an easy one facing the Cats. Damien Hardwick is sure to get the axe out and drop a few players with Mitch Morton and Brad Miller looking to be recalled to the senior side.
Tip: Cats by 58 points
Odds: Cats 1.08 Tigers 7.50
I am taking the Cats with a halftime margin of between 25-36 which is paying an attractive $4.90
Melbourne V Hawthorn Sunday at the MCG
The Demons sit just one win out of the eight and will need a huge effort to overcome the Hawks coming off a bye. Brendon Fevola kicked 11 goals in the VFL last week but don’t expect to see him lining up for Melbourne.
The bye appears to have come at a great time for the Hawks as they have had the chance to get some injured players fit. They could welcome back as many as 5 “best 22″ players, Chance Bateman, Brad Sewell, Cyril Rioli and Jordan Lisle from injury and Jordan Lewis from suspension. too much class all over the ground for the Hawks and they should get the points.
Tip: Hawks by 25 points
Odds: Demons 4.10 Hawks 1.24
I am taking the Hawks with a winning margin of between 20-39 at $4.30 in this one
Fremantle V West Coast Sunday at Paterson Stadium
The Western Derby is always a hard one to pick, this week is even harder to pick with both sides in good form and occupying 5th and 6th on the ladder. If the Dockers can beat the Eagles they will be even on points but will stay in sixth as the Eagles have a way superior percentage,
Nick Suban is almost certain to be included in the Dockers 22 and superstar Aaron Sandilainds is also a chance to play his first game since Round 12.
West Coast are coming off a rare loss and will be out to rectify this and stay in touch with the top four. Daniel Kerr will be a welcome inclusion after the Eagles were hurt badly in the stopages against the Saints last week.
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